Global Population Projections by Country – Year 2050

As the world marches towards 2050, demographic shifts promise to reshape global dynamics. Population projections suggest that by 2050, the global population will reach an estimated 9.7 billion people. This growth will bring about significant changes in the distribution of the world’s population, impacting everything from economic development to resource allocation and geopolitical landscapes. Understanding these projections helps in planning for future challenges and opportunities. In this article, we will delve into the projected populations of the most and least populous countries in 2050, providing insights into how the demographic landscape is expected to evolve over the next few decades.

Top 10 Most Populous Countries in 2050

  1. India: 1,670,490,596
  2. China: 1,312,636,325
  3. United States: 375,391,963
  4. Indonesia: 317,225,213
  5. Pakistan: 367,808,468
  6. Nigeria: 377,459,883
  7. Brazil: 230,885,725
  8. Bangladesh: 203,904,900
  9. Russia: 133,133,035
  10. Ethiopia: 214,812,309

By 2050, India is projected to be the most populous country in the world. This shift is driven by India’s relatively high fertility rates and China’s aging population due to its long-standing one-child policy. The United States remains the third most populous country, reflecting its steady population growth through both natural increase and immigration.

Nigeria’s population is expected to soar, making it the most populous country in Africa and the sixth worldwide. This dramatic increase is due to high fertility rates and a young population. Other countries like Pakistan, Indonesia, and Ethiopia will also see significant population growth, contributing to their rising global demographic rankings. These changes will have profound implications for global economic power, resource distribution, and environmental sustainability.

Top 10 Least Populous Countries in 2050

  1. Vatican City: 764
  2. Niue: 2,096
  3. Tokelau: 2,430
  4. Falkland Islands: 3,779
  5. Montserrat: 3,781
  6. Saint Pierre and Miquelon: 5,165
  7. Saint Barthelemy: 10,210
  8. Wallis and Futuna: 11,349
  9. Tuvalu: 13,211
  10. Nauru: 14,695

The smallest countries by population in 2050 are expected to remain largely unchanged from today, dominated by tiny island nations and small territories. Vatican City, the spiritual and administrative center of the Roman Catholic Church, will continue to have the smallest population. Niue, Tokelau, and the Falkland Islands also remain among the least populous due to their limited land area and remote locations.

These countries face unique challenges, such as vulnerability to climate change, limited economic opportunities, and reliance on external aid. Despite their small populations, they play important roles in global biodiversity and cultural heritage. Addressing their specific needs and ensuring sustainable development will be crucial as the global population continues to grow.

Understanding the projected populations of the most and least populous countries in 2050 provides a glimpse into the future, highlighting the need for strategic planning and international cooperation to address the diverse challenges and opportunities that lie ahead.

# Country Population 2050
1India1670490596
2China1312636325
3United States375391963
4Indonesia317225213
5Pakistan367808468
6Nigeria377459883
7Brazil230885725
8Bangladesh203904900
9Russia133133035
10Ethiopia214812309
11Mexico143772364
12Japan103784357
13Philippines157891622
14Egypt160339889
15DR Congo217494003
16Vietnam107012939
17Iran99007204
18Turkey95829258
19Germany78932228
20Thailand67880083
21Tanzania129931520
22United Kingdom71684966
23France65827072
24South Africa73529753
25Italy52250484
26Kenya85211739
27Myanmar59929399
28Colombia56987651
29South Korea45770874
30Uganda87622081
31Sudan84494269
32Spain44219565
33Iraq74515140
34Algeria60001113
35Argentina51621175
36Afghanistan74075234
37Poland34932339
38Canada45890819
39Morocco45044990
40Ukraine32867719
41Angola72328068
42Saudi Arabia48374543
43Uzbekistan45593149
44Yemen55296331
45Mozambique63044497
46Ghana52231785
47Peru42022554
48Malaysia41032433
49Nepal37401365
50Madagascar51592965
51Ivory Coast51358243
52Venezuela35937404
53Cameroon51279560
54Niger67043296
55Australia32192919
56North Korea25807197
57Syria38306374
58Mali47439802
59Taiwan22445526
60Burkina Faso40541548
61Sri Lanka21814985
62Malawi37159300
63Zambia37460435
64Kazakhstan25609978
65Chile20675378
66Romania17457213
67Chad36452035
68Somalia36462830
69Ecuador22269779
70Guatemala24600727
71Senegal32562869
72Netherlands17897025
73Cambodia20258435
74Zimbabwe26438589
75Guinea23711700
76Rwanda23030046
77Benin25264035
78Burundi24208671
79Bolivia16609854
80Tunisia14315779
81Haiti15087520
82Belgium12090657
83Dominican Republic13180541
84Jordan15005941
85South Sudan17460846
86Cuba10028085
87Honduras14258514
88Sweden11902033
89Papua New Guinea14910369
90Czech Republic10577126
91Azerbaijan10867296
92Tajikistan15200989
93Greece9144951
94Portugal9261305
95Hungary8817396
96United Arab Emirates11449471
97Belarus8409632
98Israel12991790
99Togo15478883
100Sierra Leone13595023
101Austria8924190
102Switzerland9753753
103Laos9775552
104Hong Kong6975391
105Nicaragua9094641
106Serbia5777806
107Libya8539976
108Paraguay8591486
109Kyrgyzstan9426858
110Bulgaria5187392
111Turkmenistan8263833
112El Salvador6636854
113Republic of the Congo10378912
114Singapore6337235
115Denmark6445109
116Central African Republic11533423
117Slovakia5186967
118Finland5460917
119Liberia8890700
120Norway6367559
121Palestine8861747
122New Zealand5949002
123Costa Rica5702525
124Lebanon4937579
125Ireland5724686
126Mauritania8914673
127Oman6328978
128Panama5736121
129Kuwait5155414
130Croatia3333425
131Eritrea5964021
132Georgia3384660
133Mongolia4518856
134Uruguay3337143
135Moldova2997532
136Puerto Rico2727624
137Bosnia and Herzegovina2739014
138Gambia4673743
139Albania2456472
140Jamaica2493823
141Armenia2573465
142Qatar3358454
143Botswana3679340
144Lithuania2187550
145Namibia3779918
146Gabon3757053
147Lesotho2898369
148Guinea-Bissau3445289
149Slovenia2003258
150North Macedonia1909309
151Latvia1433728
152Equatorial Guinea2790533
153Trinidad and Tobago1485139
154Bahrain1809237
155Timor-Leste1806869
156Estonia1171695
157Mauritius1226235
158Cyprus1391785
159Eswatini1655121
160Djibouti1502575
161Reunion1127252
162Fiji1094174
163Comoros1246207
164Guyana878746
165Bhutan874294
166Solomon Islands1225407
167Macau881666
168Luxembourg781910
169Suriname725519
170Montenegro586385
171Cape Verde727457
172Western Sahara851067
173Malta522737
174Maldives569909
175Brunei498373
176Belize538838
177Bahamas450625
178Guadeloupe388861
179Iceland408783
180Martinique330121
181Mayotte664141
182Vanuatu578567
183French Guiana532459
184French Polynesia346933
185New Caledonia353191
186Barbados267788
187Sao Tome and Principe366663
188Samoa320016
189Curacao204084
190Saint Lucia177856
191Guam195673
192Kiribati188570
193Grenada136253
194Micronesia135457
195Jersey135441
196Tonga131225
197Seychelles116644
198Aruba94185
199Saint Vincent and the Grenadines101691
200United States Virgin Islands77519
201Antigua and Barbuda99030
202Isle of Man86680
203Andorra80504
204Dominica74167
205Cayman Islands77633
206Bermuda56041
207Guernsey66496
208Greenland53997
209Faroe Islands59444
210Northern Mariana Islands50050
211Saint Kitts and Nevis46882
212Turks and Caicos Islands52865
213Sint Maarten38947
214American Samoa33557
215Marshall Islands51211
216Liechtenstein42287
217Monaco37664
218San Marino32044
219Gibraltar31356
220Saint Martin35453
221British Virgin Islands34768
222Palau16689
223Cook Islands17674
224Anguilla15294
225Nauru14695
226Tuvalu13211
227Wallis and Futuna11349
228Saint Barthelemy10210
229Saint Pierre and Miquelon5165
230Montserrat3781
231Falkland Islands3779
232Niue2096
233Tokelau2430
234Vatican City764

Disclaimer: The population projections in this article are based on current data and assumptions, and are subject to change due to unforeseen factors such as economic shifts, natural disasters, policy changes, and healthcare advancements. Actual figures may vary. Use these projections as a guide, not an absolute prediction.

Frequently asked Questions

  • How much will the global population increase by 2050?
    • The global population is projected to increase to about 9.7 billion by 2050.
  • What is the estimated population of the United States in 2050?
    • The United States is projected to have a population of around 379 million by 2050.
  • What is the projected population of India in 2050?
    • India’s population is projected to be approximately 1.64 billion by 2050.

Sources

UN DESA Population Division

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